Everything above is the idea. This is the position — the lines you would actually send to a broker.
| Leg | Action | Qty | Expiry | DTE | Strike | Delta | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sell to open | -1 | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | 100 Put | +0.46 (46Δ) | $3.25 |
| 2 | Buy to open | +1 | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | 95 Put | -0.25 (25Δ) | $1.35 |
| 3 | Sell to open | -1 | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | 100 Call | -0.54 (54Δ) | $3.74 |
| 4 | Buy to open | +1 | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | 105 Call | +0.32 (32Δ) | $1.77 |
| Net | Credit | 1 position | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | $5 wide | -0.00 | $3.87 |
SELL -1 IRON FLY XYZ 16 OCT 26 95/100/100/105 COMBO @ 3.87 CREDIT
Bull
makes the claim
This is the most premium four legs can collect. The wings cap the damage, the body is where all the value is, and if the stock does what it does most days — not much — I keep a good part of it.
Bear
doubts it
You have sold the exact strike the stock is standing on. Any move in either direction hurts immediately, and you have written the option that has the most gamma in the whole chain. This is short gamma at its purest.
Ferret
settles it
The credit is bigger and the range is narrower. That is a straight trade-off, not an advantage, and which side of it wins is an empirical question. Name the wing width and the exit and I can run it against the condor on the same entries.
The iron fly on XYZ at $100 · 25% volatility · 4% rate · 45 days. Priced from the model, not written by hand.
| At expiry | |
|---|---|
| Credit taken in | $387 |
| Maximum profit | $387 |
| Maximum loss | $-113 |
| Breakevens | $96.13, $103.87 |
The chart above is the shape at expiry. It puts the bend right next to the money, which makes the trade look like it is already on the edge. It is not — here is the day you open it.
The same structure set up at 50Δ · 45 days · credit $387. The shaded band is the room between the stock and the strike you sold.
| On day one | At expiry | |
|---|---|---|
| Stock at $100 (the strike you sold) | $0 | $387 |
| Stock unchanged at $100 | $0 | $387 |
The body is fixed at the money, so the delta dial does nothing here. What changes an iron fly is the tenor and the width of the wings.
| Days | Short strike | Away from spot | Credit | Max loss | Risk : reward |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 100 | +0.0% | $253 | $-247 | 1.0 : 1 |
| 21 | 100 | +0.0% | $342 | $-158 | 0.5 : 1 |
| 45 | 100 | +0.0% | $387 | $-113 | 0.3 : 1 |
| 90 | 100 | +0.0% | $417 | $-83 | 0.2 : 1 |
Wing width is the other dial, and it is the one that decides how much you can lose. Wider wings mean a bigger credit and a bigger maximum loss; narrower wings mean less of both.
On a fly, width is not a detail of the setup. It is the risk.
| Days left | Delta | Gamma | Theta / day | Vega | Rho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | -0.2 | -1.35 | $+1.12 | $-4.17 | $+0.45 |
| 21 | -0.4 | -3.89 | $+3.30 | $-5.60 | $+0.17 |
| 7 | -1.0 | -14.89 | $+12.74 | $-7.14 | $+0.03 |
The position at entry — stock $100 · 25% volatility. Per contract, from the model.
This is the part that decides whether the strategy works, and it is almost never put plainly.
You cannot be paid theta without being short gamma. They are not two features of the trade. They are the rent and the risk on one lease.
| Days left | Delta | Gamma | Theta / day | Vega | Rho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | -0.2 | -1.35 | $+1.12 | $-4.17 | $+0.45 |
| 21 | -0.4 | -3.89 | $+3.30 | $-5.60 | $+0.17 |
| 7 | -1.0 | -14.89 | $+12.74 | $-7.14 | $+0.03 |
| Days left | Delta | Gamma | Theta / day | Vega | Rho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | +3.2 | -1.31 | $+0.99 | $-3.85 | $+0.86 |
| 21 | +9.0 | -3.35 | $+2.59 | $-4.58 | $+0.71 |
| 7 | +31.4 | -8.65 | $+6.68 | $-3.94 | $+0.64 |
The trap is that the credit looks like the outcome.
You keep the whole credit at exactly one price. Every other price gives some of it back.
How this shows up in our tests — pending. No result has been published on this structure yet.