Everything above is the idea. This is the position — the lines you would actually send to a broker.
| Leg | Action | Qty | Expiry | DTE | Strike | Delta | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sell to open | -1 | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | 95 Put | +0.25 (25Δ) | $1.35 |
| Net | Credit | 1 position | 16 Oct 26 | 45 | — | +0.25 | $1.35 |
SELL -1 XYZ 16 OCT 26 95 PUT @ 1.35 CREDIT
Bull
makes the claim
I wanted to buy this stock anyway, and now I am paid to wait for a better price. If it falls I own it lower than the market would have sold it to me. If it doesn’t, I keep the money and write another one.
Bear
doubts it
You are paid to buy something in the exact circumstance where nobody wants it. The stock falls twenty per cent and you are handed it at five per cent off. That is not a discount, it is a queue you volunteered for.
Ferret
settles it
The disagreement is entirely about what happens after assignment, and neither of you has said. Name the delta, the tenor, and what you do with the shares once you have them, and I can measure whether the premium ever covered the difference.
The cash-secured put on XYZ at $100 · 25% volatility · 4% rate · 45 days. Priced from the model, not written by hand.
| At expiry | |
|---|---|
| Credit taken in | $135 |
| Maximum profit | $135 |
| Maximum loss | $-9,364 |
| Breakeven | $93.65 |
The chart above is the shape at expiry. It puts the bend right next to the money, which makes the trade look like it is already on the edge. It is not — here is the day you open it.
The same structure set up at 25Δ · 45 days · credit $135. The shaded band is the room between the stock and the strike you sold.
| On day one | At expiry | |
|---|---|---|
| Stock at $95 (the strike you sold) | $-174 | $135 |
| Stock unchanged at $100 | $0 | $135 |
Two dials, as always: how far below the money, and how long. There is no width here — the risk is set entirely by the strike and the cash behind it.
| Days | Short strike | Away from spot | Credit | Max loss | Risk : reward |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 98 | +2.0% | $57 | $-9,742 | — |
| 21 | 96 | +4.0% | $81 | $-9,518 | — |
| 45 | 95 | +5.0% | $135 | $-9,364 | — |
| 90 | 94 | +6.0% | $209 | $-9,190 | — |
| Delta | Short strike | Away from spot | Credit | Max loss | Risk : reward |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40Δ | 99 | +1.0% | $278 | $-9,621 | — |
| 25Δ | 95 | +5.0% | $135 | $-9,364 | — |
| 15Δ | 92 | +8.0% | $69 | $-9,130 | — |
The cash is the position. The option is just the terms.
| Days left | Delta | Gamma | Theta / day | Vega | Rho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | +24.7 | -3.60 | $+2.79 | $-11.08 | $+3.21 |
| 21 | +17.8 | -4.34 | $+3.52 | $-6.25 | $+1.06 |
| 7 | +6.4 | -3.62 | $+3.03 | $-1.74 | $+0.12 |
The position at entry — stock $100 · 25% volatility. Per contract, from the model.
This is the part that decides whether the strategy works, and it is almost never put plainly.
You cannot be paid theta without being short gamma. They are not two features of the trade. They are the rent and the risk on one lease.
| Days left | Delta | Gamma | Theta / day | Vega | Rho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | +24.7 | -3.60 | $+2.79 | $-11.08 | $+3.21 |
| 21 | +17.8 | -4.34 | $+3.52 | $-6.25 | $+1.06 |
| 7 | +6.4 | -3.62 | $+3.03 | $-1.74 | $+0.12 |
| Days left | Delta | Gamma | Theta / day | Vega | Rho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | +43.6 | -4.70 | $+3.18 | $-13.21 | $+5.49 |
| 21 | +43.8 | -6.88 | $+4.89 | $-9.03 | $+2.52 |
| 7 | +42.4 | -11.85 | $+8.80 | $-5.18 | $+0.80 |
The trap is the word “secured”.
Secured means you have the cash. It does not mean the position is safe.
How this shows up in our tests — pending. No result has been published on this structure yet.